NASA-GISS publishes a table Land Ocean Temperature Index (LOTI) of temperature values around the middle of each month that gives their estimate of the global temperature in anomalies. This table shows the current month and it goes back, by month, all the way to January 1880 which represented 1,626 values with the January 2016 report. Anomalies are calculated by taking the estimated temperature say 15.2 degrees Celsius and subtracting 14.0 degrees Celsius from it leaving 1.2 degrees Celsius which is then multiplied by 100 giving us an anomaly of 102; it’s their system not mine. The 14 degrees Celsius was calculated back in the 1980 as the average temperature for the period from 1951 through 1980 or 30 years. Why that period I don’t know as it has no scientific significance. My guess is it was the period that the people working on this project like James E. Hanson grew up in, but whether that is true or not using those years as a base for anything makes no sense. This paragraph is required so anyone looking at the Chart that follows will be able to understand what the numbers mean.
When I started this climate research 10 years ago it was the result of work I was doing in the field of electric vehicles and I needed to find the amount of fossil fuels that were available to determine if electric vehicles were viable. Also prior work I had done at General Electric had indicated that there were many problems with actually trying to switch to electric cars from petroleum based. Progress has been made but there are still many issues that prevent a total conversion to electric. However this subject dragged me into the changing climate issue which at the time I had no reason to believe what NASA and James E. Hansen were saying was not true. That assumption proved to be very wrong after only a few months of studying the issue and that started me on seeing what the real reasons for the changing climate we had was.
My research during 2005 through 2007 was in collecting information on the subject and it soon became obvious that there was something wrong; the IPCC hockey stick graph and geological temperature records were at odds and one or the other was wrong. The key was the sensitivity value of Carbon Dioxide CO2 which tells us how much of an effect CO2 has on temperatures. The science is far from settled on this key value and from 1979 to the present the published papers have lowered the estimate of that key number from 3.0 degrees Celsius to closer to 1.0 degrees Celsius per doubling of CO2. The higher value is required to make the man made part of the changing climate real but the lower value appears to be the correct one; which then seems to show that there are other factors effecting climate than CO2 and this became obvious 12 years ago when the increase in Global temperature appeared to slow down or even stop; and this was called the ‘pause’. And this pause was supported by satellite data so it was hard to hide
However, politics came into play as many uneducated policy makers were tricked into supporting the claim that CO2 increases were going to be the world’s biggest problem ever. This belief had much support from various political factions that provided money and ground troops to get the message out. So, now today, with so much political capital invested in the concept facts could not be allowed to stand in the way and so NOAA and NASA were directed to adjust the global temperatures to support the movement and that culminated with the Paris climate treaty signed in December 2015 at COP21. The following Chart shows how this was done by changing all the values in the NASA LOTI table and an explanation follows the chart.
This Chart was made from 14 different NASA LOTI tables as downloaded from the NASA-GISS web site over the past 8 years and listed by date on the x axis. Each LOTI report has a temperature value for each month from the date of the report going back to January 1880 and since these values are recalculated every month in software there are variations in those values and so to remove the random changes blocks of values were averaged i.e. the first one in green January 1880 through December 1899 is 20 years containing 240 values. Then that block was plotted for each of the 14 different reports up to the base period. This block is very erratic moving first down and then up so there must be something in the software that causes that based on what they programmed in to all the other periods. I left it in here only to show the strange movements in the published temperatures provided by NASA. The next block is from January 1951 to December 1980, 30 year period, is the base period that NASA which was described in the first paragraph of this short paper. In the above chart it shows as a solid black line at the 0 point on the chart. Starting in 1940 we move to 10 year blocks of 120 values to see greater resolution. The most current block 2010 to 2019 shows the most manipulation.
Now what stands out in this chart are two things the first is that the plots for the blocks of years move up and down which means that the temperatures for that block of years is moving which doesn’t seem reasonable as they are in the past so how is that possible. Further, random fluctuations would be averaged out when considering 120 or 240 values. In general as shown in the straight red trend line above the black base line which moves up and the blue straight trend line below the black base line which moves down we can see that the past gets colder while the present gets warmer; both after they are first published. Each point on the chart is for the same time period and the same number of values with the exception of the most current block labeled at 2010-2019 which is currently at 60 values since we are only half way through that period. This last period is the most interesting since we can see a very large increase in the values in the first few months of 2015, black oval.
The second point is not so obvious and this that the base period black plot of 30 years from 1951 through 1980 is very stable and does not move. With what happens to all the other periods moving all over the place that is not possible unless it is not allowed to move. This is one of the reasons why that period should not have been picked as the base, however now that they did they are forced to make those 360 values, when averaged, equal zero or their system falls apart. A base period cannot fall in the middle of the measurements you are analyzing when you don’t have hard values to measure against.
Since the past can’t change except in Orwell’s 1984 the current movement of temperatures that support the myth of manmade climate change can only be by manipulation of the NOAA and NASA data sets. What this administration is currently doing is no different than what The Catholics did to Galileo in 1633 when he was sentenced to house arrest after a long battle proposing that the earth moved around the sun not vice versa. Today any work questioning that man is causing the temperature of the planet to rise to unheard of levels is ridiculed and banned and some have even proposed prison to utter that thought.
Since it is now 100% certain that NOAA and NASA are changing data to support a political view those organization are now nothing more than propaganda organs of the political class and have become high priests of a cult which has nothing to do with true science.
